14 Oct · 21:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
KP
🇨🇿Kiejda Patryk
ELO 1529
FormLLWLW
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Patryk
WA
🇨🇿Wiekiera Arkadiusz
ELO 1503
FormLWWWL
52%
48%
Fair odds · Patryk
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 51% · 1.95· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~78 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+26
H2H35-29
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.