15 Oct · 07:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Krupnik
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1473
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (92)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+78
H2H18-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+78)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-11)