15 Oct · 08:45 MESZLow · Slight Edge
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1551
FormWWWLL
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Krenek
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1582
FormWLLLW
47%
53%
🔥 Underdog lean · Krupnik🌟Krenek rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (138)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~77 pts
1-3
20%
3-1
18%
3-2
16%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H46-46
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.