15 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1501
FormLLWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Sindler
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1392
FormLLWWL
59%
41%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Sindler rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (160)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+109
H2H18-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+109)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (18-15)