15 Oct · 09:10 MESZLow · Slight Edge
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Snr
ELO 1422
FormWWWLL
52%Win chancemodel fair 1.92Snr
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1392
FormLLWWL
52%
48%
🔥 Underdog lean · Lysek🌟Lysek goes over total as underdog 63% (46)
Fair odds · Snr
Model 52% · 1.92vsMarket 49% · 2.06· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+30
H2H3-8
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.