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14 Oct · 21:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
DKDenys Kovtanyuk
🇨🇿Denys Kovtanyuk
ELO 1393
3-2Final setsKovtanyuk won
PKPiotr Kedzierski
🇨🇿Piotr Kedzierski
ELO 1384
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kovtanyuk at 50%. The actual result was Denys Kovtanyuk 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Denys Kovtanyuk favoured — closing 1.42
Favourite won
Total 77.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Denys Kovtanyuk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Denys Kovtanyuk −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Denys Kovtanyuk is favoured to win, below means Piotr Kedzierski.

▲ Denys Kovtanyukpre 46% → final 5%
Piotr Kedzierski ▼
Biggest swing 84 ptsKedzierski recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games