15 Oct · 08:00 MESZLow · Coin Flip
SR
🇨🇿Szymon Radlo
ELO 1559
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Lysakowski
ML
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1560
FormWLLLW
50%
50%
🌟Radlo goes over total as underdog 69% (13)
Fair odds · Lysakowski
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 43% · 2.32· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~79 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H62-53
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.