15 Oct · 16:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vicherek
ELO 1586
FormWLWLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1669
FormWWWWL
43%
57%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 65% (112)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+83
H2H38-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+83)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (38-28)