15 Oct · 16:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PP
🇨🇿Petr Pesout
ELO 1439
FormWWLLW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Pesout
MC
🇨🇿Miroslav Cyrus
ELO 1354
FormWLLWW
57%
43%
🌟Pesout goes over total as favourite 67% (42)
Fair odds · Pesout
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+85
H2H8-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+85)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-7)