15 Oct · 15:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1662
FormLLWWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Sikora
MZ
🇨🇿Marek Zaskodny
ELO 1573
FormLWLWW
57%
43%
Fair odds · Sikora
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+89
H2H10-6
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+89)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (10-6)