15 Oct · 16:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1642
FormWLWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
DS
🇨🇿David Skulina
ELO 1569
FormWLLLL
56%
44%
🌟Skulina covers set handicap as underdog 67% (36)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+73
H2H9-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+73)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (9-7)