15 Oct · 16:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RJ
🇨🇿Robert Jamrich
ELO 1443
FormWWWWL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Dvorak
MD
🇨🇿Milan Dvorak
ELO 1533
FormLWWLW
43%
57%
🌟Dvorak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 31% (72)
Fair odds · Dvorak
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 58% · 1.73· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+90
H2H6-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+90)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (6-3)