15 Oct · 16:40 MESZLow · Coin Flip
FS
🇨🇿Filip Sikora
ELO 1662
FormLLWWW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Sarganek
DS
🇨🇿David Sarganek
ELO 1669
FormWWWWL
49%
51%
🌟Sarganek stays under total as favourite 65% (112)
Fair odds · Sarganek
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
3-2
17%
2-3
16%
0-3
16%
Elo Gap+7
H2H25-28
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.