15 Oct · 15:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
BM
🇨🇿Borek Moravec
ELO 1749
FormWLWWW
72%Win chancemodel fair 1.39Moravec
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
72%
28%
🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (92)
Fair odds · Moravec
Model 72% · 1.39vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 58%Total ~72 pts
3-0
32%
3-1
26%
3-2
14%
1-3
10%
2-3
9%
Elo Gap+285
H2H1-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+285)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)