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15 Oct · 12:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1556
3-2Final setsMolka won
MLMichal Lysakowski
🇨🇿Michal Lysakowski
ELO 1584
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Lysakowski at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lysakowski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 79.5
98 points played
Over
Set handicap
Lysakowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lysakowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Michal Lysakowski.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 43% → final 76%
Michal Lysakowski ▼
Biggest swing 95 ptsMolka recovered from 5%72 points · 5 games