15 Oct · 12:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AW
🇨🇿Adam Wilk
ELO 1465
3-2Final setsWilk won
JL
🇨🇿Jakub Lysek
ELO 1370
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Wilk at 57%. The actual result was Adam Wilk 3-2 — the pick was correct.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Wilk favoured — closing 1.45
Total 78.5
99 points played
Set handicap
Adam Wilk −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Wilk −4.5 points
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.36
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Wilk is favoured to win, below means Jakub Lysek.
▲ Adam Wilkpre 61% → final 96%
Jakub Lysek ▼
Biggest swing 39 pts56 points · 3 games