15 Oct · 17:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1620
3-1Final setsGuzy won
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1652
What the model said
Before the match, the model favoured Duch at 54%. The actual result was Karol Guzy 3-1 — the underdog won.
How the markets settled
The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.
Match winner
Adam Duch favoured — closing 1.55
Set handicap
Adam Duch −1.5 sets
Points handicap
Adam Duch −3.5 points
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
Win probability
Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Karol Guzy is favoured to win, below means Adam Duch.
▲ Karol Guzypre 49% → final 89%
Adam Duch ▼
Biggest swing 49 pts72 points · 4 games