15 Oct · 23:00 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AD
🇨🇿Adam Duch
ELO 1659
FormWLLWW
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Duch
BG
🇨🇿Blazej Gola
ELO 1460
FormWLWWL
66%
34%
Fair odds · Duch
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 48%Total ~76 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
23%
3-2
18%
2-3
14%
1-3
13%
Elo Gap+199
H2H58-34
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+199)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (58-34)