16 Oct · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
OV
🇨🇿Oldrich Vaclahovsky
ELO 1518
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vaclahovsky
JM
🇨🇿Jiri Matus
ELO 1517
FormLWWLL
50%
50%
🔥 Underdog lean · Matus🌟Vaclahovsky rarely covers set handicap as favourite 36% (44)
Fair odds · Vaclahovsky
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+1
H2H10-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.