16 Oct · 07:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
JG
🇨🇿Jan Gembala
ELO 1605
FormLLWWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Gembala
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Kindl
ELO 1464
FormLLWLL
61%
39%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kindl🌟Kindl goes over total as underdog 68% (95)
Fair odds · Gembala
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~77 pts
3-1
23%
3-0
21%
3-2
17%
2-3
15%
1-3
15%
Elo Gap+141
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+141)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)