16 Oct · 11:15 MESZLow · Coin Flip
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1592
FormLWWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Slavik
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1582
FormWWLLW
51%
49%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Slavik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (75)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 50% · 2.00· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H3-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.