16 Oct · 11:00 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MG
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1611
FormWLWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Galus
BM
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1539
FormLLWWL
56%
44%
🌟Galus stays under total as favourite 75% (12)
Fair odds · Galus
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+72
H2H49-43
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+72)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (49-43)