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16 Oct · 13:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBartlomiej Molka
🇨🇿Bartlomiej Molka
ELO 1569
3-2Final setsMolka won
MGMateusz Galus
🇨🇿Mateusz Galus
ELO 1601
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Galus at 53%. The actual result was Bartlomiej Molka 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Galus favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 78.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Mateusz Galus −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Mateusz Galus −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.7
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Molka is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Galus.

▲ Bartlomiej Molkapre 43% → final 62%
Mateusz Galus ▼
Biggest swing 45 ptsMolka recovered from 20%72 points · 4 games