17 Oct · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TF
🇨🇿Tomas Fojtik
ELO 1499
FormLWLLW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Heuman
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Fojtik🌟Fojtik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (65)
Fair odds · Heuman
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 54% · 1.85· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~73 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+66
H2H2-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+66)