17 Oct · 08:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1636
FormWLLWW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Chaloupka
DJ
🇨🇿Dalibor Velky Jr
ELO 1521
FormWWLWL
59%
41%
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 64% · 1.57· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H8-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (8-4)