17 Oct · 08:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Langer
AL
🇨🇿Ales Langer
ELO 1514
FormWWWWL
42%
58%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlumsky🌟Chlumsky covers set handicap as underdog 67% (30)
Fair odds · Langer
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 57% · 1.74· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+93
H2H9-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+93)