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16 Oct · 20:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
AKAdam Kral
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1531
2-3Final setsKosacky won
AKAdam Kosacky
🇨🇿Adam Kosacky
ELO 1631
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosacky at 57%. The actual result was Adam Kosacky 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Adam Kosacky favoured — closing 1.34
Favourite won
Total 71.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Adam Kosacky −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Adam Kosacky −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.47
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
7.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Kral is favoured to win, below means Adam Kosacky.

▲ Adam Kralpre 39% → final 89%
Adam Kosacky ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsKral recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games