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16 Oct · 21:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1540
0-3Final setsSzymanski won
MSMateusz Szymanski
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1598
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szymanski at 53%. The actual result was Mateusz Szymanski 0-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Szymanski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 78.5
51 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Szymanski.

▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 50% → final 93%
Mateusz Szymanski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsZapala recovered from 39%56 points · 3 games