17 Oct · 09:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
FC
🇨🇿Frantisek Chaloupka
ELO 1636
FormWLLWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Chaloupka
IH
🇨🇿Ivan Heuman
ELO 1565
FormLLLWW
56%
44%
🌟Heuman covers set handicap as underdog 70% (81)
Fair odds · Chaloupka
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 56% · 1.78· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~74 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+71
H2H12-7
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+71)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (12-7)