17 Oct · 09:40 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jaroslav Sindler
ELO 1543
FormLWWWW
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Sindler
LJ
🇨🇿Lukas Krupnik Jr
ELO 1482
FormWWWLL
55%
45%
🔥 Underdog lean · Jr🌟Jr covers set handicap as underdog 65% (133)
Fair odds · Sindler
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 56% · 1.79· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+61
H2H31-28
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+61)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (31-28)