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16 Oct · 22:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JDJaroslav Dohnal
🇨🇿Jaroslav Dohnal
ELO 1489
2-3Final setsRein won
TRTomas Rein
🇨🇿Tomas Rein
ELO 1458
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Dohnal at 54%. The actual result was Tomas Rein 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jaroslav Dohnal favoured — closing 1.5
Upset
Total 76.5
86 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jaroslav Dohnal −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jaroslav Dohnal −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 3.5
closing 1.38
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslav Dohnal is favoured to win, below means Tomas Rein.

▲ Jaroslav Dohnalpre 58% → final 79%
Tomas Rein ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts72 points · 4 games