17 Oct · 09:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PC
🇨🇿Petr Chlumsky
ELO 1421
FormLWWLW
59%Win chancemodel fair 1.69Kral
AK
🇨🇿Adam Kral
ELO 1531
FormLWWWW
41%
59%
🔥 Underdog lean · Chlumsky🌟Kral goes over total as favourite 71% (103)
Fair odds · Kral
Model 59% · 1.69vsMarket 47% · 2.13· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~79 pts
1-3
22%
2-3
18%
0-3
18%
3-1
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+110
H2H11-25
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+110)