17 Oct · 19:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
SH
🇨🇿Simon Holik
ELO 1557
FormLWWWW
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Koutnik
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1631
FormWLLWW
44%
56%
🔥 Underdog lean · Holik🌟Holik goes over total as underdog 67% (48)
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 41% · 2.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
2-3
18%
0-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+74
H2H1-5
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+74)