17 Oct · 19:45 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MM
🇨🇿Michal Macurak
ELO 1616
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Macurak
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1556
FormLWLWL
55%
45%
🌟Krupnik covers set handicap as underdog 65% (124)
Fair odds · Macurak
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 60% · 1.66· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~75 pts
3-1
21%
1-3
17%
3-2
17%
3-0
17%
2-3
16%
Elo Gap+60
H2H26-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+60)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (26-15)