17 Oct · 20:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
JS
🇨🇿Jan Skvrna
ELO 1658
FormWWLWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skvrna
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1582
FormLLWWW
56%
44%
🔥 Underdog lean · Stusek🌟Skvrna rarely covers set handicap as favourite 34% (180)
Fair odds · Skvrna
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 54% · 1.84· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~76 pts
3-1
21%
3-2
18%
3-0
17%
1-3
17%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+76
H2H14-10
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+76)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-10)