17 Oct · 20:40 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
AB
🇨🇿Antonin Baros
ELO 1461
FormWLLLL
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Stusek
DS
🇨🇿David Stusek
ELO 1582
FormLLWWW
40%
60%
Fair odds · Stusek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 40% · 2.49· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~76 pts
1-3
23%
2-3
19%
0-3
19%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+121
H2H2-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+121)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)