18 Oct · 08:45 MESZLow · Coin Flip
JK
🇨🇿Jan Krupnik
ELO 1557
FormWLWLW
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Krupnik
BM
🇨🇿Bruno Mrowetz
ELO 1547
FormLWLLL
51%
49%
🌟Krupnik rarely covers set handicap as favourite 37% (153)
Fair odds · Krupnik
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~76 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+10
H2H29-22
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.