18 Oct · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RV
🇨🇿Richard Vavricka
ELO 1487
FormLWWWW
50%Win chancemodel fair 2.00Vavricka
TM
🇨🇿Tomas Motacek
ELO 1487
FormLLWLL
50%
50%
Fair odds · Vavricka
Model 50% · 2.00vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 34%Total ~75 pts
1-3
19%
3-1
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+0
H2H2-0
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.