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17 Oct · 21:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KZKrzysztof Zapala
🇨🇿Krzysztof Zapala
ELO 1539
1-3Final setsSzymanski won
MSMateusz Szymanski
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1638
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szymanski at 57%. The actual result was Mateusz Szymanski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Mateusz Szymanski favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 78.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Mateusz Szymanski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Zapala is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Szymanski.

▲ Krzysztof Zapalapre 39% → final 9%
Mateusz Szymanski ▼
Biggest swing 60 ptsSzymanski recovered from 36%72 points · 4 games