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17 Oct · 20:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
LBLukasz Buklat
🇨🇿Lukasz Buklat
ELO 1585
1-3Final setsSzymanski won
MSMateusz Szymanski
🇨🇿Mateusz Szymanski
ELO 1638
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szymanski at 52%. The actual result was Mateusz Szymanski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Lukasz Buklat favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 77.5
69 points played
Under
Set handicap
Lukasz Buklat −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Lukasz Buklat −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Lukasz Buklat is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Szymanski.

▲ Lukasz Buklatpre 44% → final 9%
Mateusz Szymanski ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsSzymanski recovered from 44%67 points · 4 games