18 Oct · 08:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
VK
🇨🇿Vojtech Koutnik
ELO 1626
FormLLWWL
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Koutnik
PV
🇨🇿Petr Vodal
ELO 1396
FormLLLLL
68%
32%
🔥 Underdog lean · Vodal
Fair odds · Koutnik
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 63% · 1.60· vig 7%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~77 pts
3-1
26%
3-0
24%
3-2
18%
2-3
13%
1-3
12%
Elo Gap+230
H2H23-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+230)
- ✓Better recent form (2-3)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (23-15)