18 Oct · 08:50 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
LP
🇨🇿Lukas Pour
ELO 1384
FormWLLWW
61%Win chancemodel fair 1.64Zeman
RZ
🇨🇿Radek Zeman
ELO 1514
FormLWLWW
39%
61%
🌟Pour goes over total as underdog 75% (24)
Fair odds · Zeman
Model 61% · 1.64vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 44%Total ~75 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
21%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-1
15%
Elo Gap+130
H2H24-17
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+130)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (24-17)