18 Oct · 11:05 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TS
🇨🇿Tomasz Stachera
ELO 1472
FormLWWLL
62%Win chancemodel fair 1.61Guzy
KG
🇨🇿Karol Guzy
ELO 1618
FormLWWWW
38%
62%
Fair odds · Guzy
Model 62% · 1.61vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 45%Total ~78 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
22%
2-3
17%
3-2
15%
3-1
14%
Elo Gap+146
H2H15-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+146)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-9)