18 Oct · 14:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
BB
🇨🇿Bohuslav Budik
ELO 1578
FormWWLWW
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Budik
JH
🇨🇿Jan Hendrych
ELO 1486
FormLWWWW
57%
43%
🔥 Underdog lean · Hendrych🌟Budik goes over total as favourite 79% (61)
Fair odds · Budik
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 47% · 2.12· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~75 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
18%
3-0
18%
1-3
16%
2-3
15%
Elo Gap+92
H2H0-2
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+92)