19 Oct · 08:35 MESZLow · Coin Flip
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
51%Win chancemodel fair 1.96Neterda
MF
🇨🇿Milan Flesar
ELO 1551
FormLWWWL
51%
49%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 51% · 1.96vsMarket 66% · 1.51· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 35%Total ~75 pts
3-1
19%
1-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+9
H2H18-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.