19 Oct · 08:10 MESZMedium · Model Lean
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1476
FormWLWWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Chvojka
PC
🇨🇿Peter Chvojka
ELO 1534
FormLWLWW
45%
55%
🌟Molin stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Chvojka
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~76 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)