19 Oct · 09:40 MESZLow · Slight Edge
PJ
🇨🇿Patrik Jokiel
ELO 1507
FormLLLWW
53%Win chancemodel fair 1.89Jokiel
VM
🇨🇿Vojtech Molin
ELO 1476
FormWLWWL
53%
47%
🌟Molin stays under total as underdog 65% (26)
Fair odds · Jokiel
Model 53% · 1.89vsMarket 44% · 2.26· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 36%Total ~76 pts
3-1
20%
1-3
18%
2-3
16%
3-2
16%
3-0
16%
Elo Gap+31
H2H6-6
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.