19 Oct · 09:15 MESZMedium · Model Lean
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Slavik
LS
🇨🇿Lukas Slavik
ELO 1554
FormLLWLL
45%
55%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (67)
Fair odds · Slavik
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 59% · 1.70· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~77 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+58
H2H5-3
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+58)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (5-3)