19 Oct · 10:05 MESZMedium · Model Lean
TP
🇨🇿Tomas Palan
ELO 1503
FormLLLLL
55%Win chancemodel fair 1.82Neterda
RN
🇨🇿Radek Neterda
ELO 1560
FormLLLLL
45%
55%
Fair odds · Neterda
Model 55% · 1.82vsMarket 36% · 2.79· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 38%Total ~79 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
17%
2-3
17%
0-3
17%
3-2
16%
Elo Gap+57
H2H0-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+57)