19 Oct · 07:45 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
TK
🇨🇿Tomas Krenek
ELO 1613
FormWWWLW
60%Win chancemodel fair 1.67Krenek
RS
🇨🇿Radek Sedlacek
ELO 1496
FormWLLWL
60%
40%
🔥 Underdog lean · Sedlacek🌟Sedlacek covers set handicap as underdog 69% (67)
Fair odds · Krenek
Model 60% · 1.67vsMarket 54% · 1.86· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
3-1
22%
3-2
19%
3-0
19%
1-3
15%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+117
H2H16-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+117)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (16-15)